Table of Contents
Malthus, Marx and Miro:
Population (in millions) by world regions, 1950 - 95 (table 1)
Total population: South America, 1900-1990 (steeper slope, faster growth)
Mesoamerica and Latin Caribbean, 1900-1990 (steeper slope, faster growth)
Demographic transition: phase shifts in mortality and fertility (see table 5)
Two social philosophers: Malthus and Marx (p. 7)
The technocrat, Carment Miro, founding director of CELADE, UN Demographic Center for LA
The mortality transitions (Table 3)
Life Expectancy, 1900-1980, table 3 (unequal in 1900; now converging)
Mortality transition in Mexico: gap with the USA (e0)
Infant mortality declined from 13% in 1950 to 3% in 1992 (still more than 3 times the US rate).
The fertility transitions
Two fertility transitions--early and middle--compared with USA
Revolutions and fertility: booms, busts, and transitions
Fertility decline in Latin America, 1952 - 1992 (table 4)
Obstacles to fertility transition
Mexico’s fertility transition: 7 children in 1970 to 3.2 in 1992
Fertility in Mexico: A comparison with the USA
Mexico’s fertility in 1971 lagged USA by a century
Very rapid fertility decline, 1970-1992.
Educations effects: the case of Mexico, 1990
Total fertility by age, a model: no restraints on childbearing.
Total fertility by age, Mexico 1990: all married women
… women with post-secondary education (Mexico 1990)
… women with post-secondary education, and secondary
… women with post-, secondary and primary education
… women with post-, secondary, and no education at all
… Mexican women who speak only Spanish
… Spanish vs. Spanish and an indigenous language
… female speakers of an indigenous language vs Span. & Span+Ind.
Conclusions: Optimism.
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Author: Robert McCaa
Email: rmccaa@tc.umn.edu
Home Page: http://www.hist.umn.edu/~rmccaa
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